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20121104
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Search Results 0 to 19 of about 20 (some duplicates have been removed)
MSNBC
Oct 31, 2012 8:00am PDT
obama if he wins ohio, he could lose virginia and florida and still win. >> they have been doubling down. they spent all of this time in ohio and because of sandy spent more time in ohio. but if we look at early voting polling that is coming out of ohio and then florida, the president leads. is it the obama ground game that's really pushing them ahead? >> it's the obama ground game. ironically it's also the republican party. when i was in ohio and talked to voters there and called people in florida who were doing early vote there, a lot of what's motivating really record african-american early vote turnout in north carolina, in florida and in ohio is anger about the tone of the republican party on things like voting rights, on things like voter i.d., on what they see as voter suppression. so they're equal part defense of president obama and anger at the republican party. it's driving what looks to be potentially record early african-american vote which only helps the president. >> and lastly the president leading with overwhelming support when voters were asked does the candidate ca
MSNBC
Oct 27, 2012 11:00am PDT
for president obama is going to be ohio. you have florida and virginia to romney. he's at 248, obama 243. colorado leaning toward romney. now give obama new hampshire where he is favored, wisconsin where he is favored. give him iowa, just 263. then we are looking on election night to that all-important state of ohio, obama at 281. if you gave that to romney, look at that, 275-263. that's why it is so key. what is the one state that could keep us up at night? let's look out west. we've been giving it to mitt romney colorado. watch what happens if we give romney florida, virginia, ohio. he's at 266. president obama, what does he need? new hampshire, wisconsin, iowa, all places he's favored and look at the one place that's keeping us up at night, western state, mountain time zone, late closing time, 266, 263, nine electoral votes there could swing it one way or the other. let's look at one last scenario where we could have ourselves a tie. president obama out west is favored in nevada. let's say we give it to mitt romney. it's only a three-point lead in our poll, 50-47. colorado,
MSNBC
Nov 3, 2012 11:00am PDT
very narrow for mitt romney. if president obama wins ohio he's at 261 electoral votes based on our battleground map. if mitt romney gets virginia and florida he's stuck to 248. new hampshire where he owns a home but the president probably a finger on the scale now we're at 261-261 and we've been talking all along about the midwest and importance of ohio, wisconsin and iowa and the necessity for mitt romney to win two of those three. look at that right there. you got those 16 electoral votes between those two and if somehow mitt romney or barack obama were to pick up wisconsin, boom you've got president obama at 271 and even if mitt romney were to get iowa he's only at 267, craig the importance of the industrial midwest. >> all right. you mentioned florida. let's dig a little bit deep near to florida. based on that poll neck and neck race. if president obama, if he does not win florida what does that mean for his path to victory? >> of course the president still can win even if mitt romney were to win florida and virginia and again it all comes down to ohio. because like we just lai
MSNBC
Nov 2, 2012 11:00am EDT
the obama crowd in ohio was chanting four more years. we talk more about ohio because this has been a huge focus of these campaigns in the final days. mitt romney, after finishing up at wisconsin, he's going to have two stops in ohio. joining me now is larry sabatoe. editor of the crystal ball blog. lar larry, good to have you here. ohio has been moved to tossup category yesterday. you have it as leaning democratic. are polls tightening there? and does the president have enough of an edge to see him through because he needs ohio so badly? >> we see no evidence at all. if you look at the polling averages or even if you examine individual polls, we put ohio as lean democratic, lean obama at the end of the september. we have seen absolutely no reason to change it. we see absolutely no reason to change it now. sometimes groups at rates overreact to a single private tracking number that may be shared by a campaign. as far as i'm concerned, while private trackings are good, many of the public polls are equally good. and under treat a private tracking number from a campaign or a polling sour
MSNBC
Oct 28, 2012 3:00pm EDT
run the tables. right now, ohio, if you look at about a dozen polls, has obama up by somewhere between two and three points, and there's no precedent for any, given the polling data is that rich, there's no precedent for any candidate coming this late in the campaign from behind. by two to three points. when you've got such, as i say, rich data polling, polling data in the state of ohio right now. >> and chip, here's the thing. here's the thing with ohio. not only is the president up in the buckeye state. he's been up from the beginning. governor romney hasn't led at any point in ohio. i've been on the ground in florida for a couple of days, talked to organizers and voters and the president has an advantage with in-person early voting, not as much with absentee and early in-person voting can. governor romney win the white house without ohio and without florida, chip saltzman? >> obviously without florida and without ohio, no. but i think we feel good about where we are in florida. ohio is absolutely ground zero. we can win without ohio, but, boy, is it a tough sled. i don't thi
MSNBC
Oct 27, 2012 12:00pm PDT
state of ohio. if the buckeye state is governor romney's must-win, same can be said for president obama in pennsylvania where the latest "philadelphia inquirer" poll has the president up by a sizable margin. governor romney has narrowed the lead to six points there. 49-43 in pennsylvania. mitt romney's running mate is on the about us hoeding across ohio. congressman paul ryan on a two-day eight-stop trip through the critical battleground state calling on voters to support the republican ticket. nbc news correspondent ron mott on the bus with the vp nominee. i understand you just arrived in circleville, ohio? >> reporter: we are behind schedule by about 40 minutes, i would say. paul ryan just finished up a quick brief address with supporters outside lindsey's bakery. i'm told it's world famous. they've got pumpkin donuts they put on the bus here. we have two more events in about 120 or so miles left to go. this is a must-win for the campaign. that's the way they're positioning it. ohio senator rob portman said he can't see this republican ticket winning the white house without winn
MSNBC
Oct 27, 2012 3:00pm EDT
, that is a very strong for the obama team. he had a 20% advantage in ohio in early vote in 2008. so far, the numbers that the republicans are tracking show that advantage to be less than 6%. it's different from that poll. as you know what happens in these polls, they are calling people and asking them whether or not they voted early or not. you can get some wild answers that are divergent in some of these polls. we look at the numbers. the republicans and. romney team expects to be behind an early vote and believe they can carry ohio on election day. >> the get out the vote effort, part of the ground game we spent time talking about historically. president obama also had an advantage in that category. he's got more field offices here in florida than governor romney, more field offices in ohio than the governor does. i continue to hear folks say that mitt romney, that his ground game is so much better than it was four years ago. how are we measuring that? >> first thing we've got to remember, and i make this screw-up, too, this is a different candidate than four years ago. this is not jo
MSNBC
Oct 27, 2012 1:00pm PDT
to, you can get an obama or a romney prediction here. i think it really is too close to call in ohio at this stage. >> how prepared are the campaign there's in ohio on the ground? because if this thing is not outside what i like to call the margin of litigation, i would imagine we're going to see a significant number of attorneys descend on the buckeye state. are we already starting to see that there? >> we are. in fact, there are some jokes going around that this is secretly a conspiracy to fill ohio hotels with lawyers in the post election period. in the two to three weeks after, when these votes will be tabulated, you can almost guarantee that they're there are going to be challenges to whether certain provisionals should be counted based as much on the geography of where they come from as much as anything else. if they come from minority neighborhoods versus upscale, you can make informed judgments about which way they're going to break. in past elections that has been the source of quite a bit of fighting in the courtroom. i'm sure we're going to see that again this year. >> all
MSNBC
Oct 30, 2012 11:00am EDT
ohio is former governor ted strickland an obama campaign surrogate about what we'll see this final week, basically rounding third base running into home. sir, it's good to have you with me today as we've been talking about the fact that we are seeing the president having to take himself off of the campaign trail, canceling events that were going to take place today, and canceling events tomorrow, as well. president obama added a handful of campaign stops in swing states, ohio being one of them. is bill clinton turning into the party's go-to guy to pick up the slack of what the president obviously can't be out there doing because his attention is needed for what's taking place with sandy recovery? >> sure, if you can't have the president or the vice president, certainly bill clinton, former president clinton is at the top of the list. he is well loved and respected here in ohio and throughout much of the rest of the country, and i think he's doing a wonderful thing for the president and understanding the circumstances of this storm, but, thomas, i think both campaigns have now come
MSNBC
Nov 1, 2012 11:00am EDT
points ahead in ohio. is there any way for mitt romney to overcome this fire wall that seems to be pretty firm in president obama's favor? >> yes, if the polls are wrong. most of these polls are likely voter models. the polls are making the assumption with the turnout, what the shape of the electorate is going to be on election day. if that model is wrong, you have a major problem. you could have more republicans turning out and fewer democrats turning out. if the demographics are wrong, the same thing. this has been a very difficult -- i'm going to be honest, a very difficult election for me to get a handle on because you see this continuing schism between the national polls which show a tied race or a small, narrow romney lead in the key battlegrounds where you can show president obama ahead. it really comes down to a very simple fact. if democrats turn out, you know, at the percentages these voter models are assuming, president obama will win this election. if they don't, it's going to be a tough night. >> i want to show everybody this. chuck todd asked the obama campaign about
MSNBC
Oct 29, 2012 8:00am PDT
obama in washington. remember, mitt romney gets to shuttle back and forth between ohio and wisconsin, which are the two most important states. if president obama can hold on to nevada, wisconsin and ohio, he still wins with 271 electoral votes. so with mitt romney out on the trail, that is in part a disadvantage for president obama, but it's too hard to say right now. >> hogan, governor romney is continuing that cam taken to go forward in states not impacted by hurricane sandy. it was really interesting, joe scarborough and his observations this morning he made on "morning joe." take a listen. >> this was mitt romney's best weekend, and it stops. the momentum stops. you don't know how it freezes, but it's a new dynamic into the race and changes everything with with a week to go. >> let's talk about this. not only could this stall romney's momentum, but it also brings up something that mitt romney was forceful about during the primary debates. he sad voe indicated shutting down team na and letting states handle disaster relief. watching what's taking place with sandy, know we have 12
MSNBC
Oct 27, 2012 4:00pm EDT
. >> you know what? president obama seems to be holding a slight edge in ohio. "time" magazine poll shows the president, 49% governor romney, 44%. the poll surveyed those who will vote on election day. also polled some early voters as well. could the absentee voting situation in the buckeye state, could it change the numbers as we get closer to election day? >> oh, absolutely. at this point we've had close to a million actually cast so far. as i mentioned we have another 800,000 out. and in ohio you can still through next saturday, the saturday before the election ask for an absentee ballot application. so we've got hundreds of thousands of these coming in. and to go back to the points i made at the outset, you add all the categories of uncounted votes together and it could easily flip a 51/49, 52/48 elect the other way. >> barry, you've been covering ohio for some time. now you're more familiar with the situation than just about anyone in the country. give me odds here. give me likelihood. how do you think this thing plays out there? >> well, the polls are so close. we in fact have
Search Results 0 to 19 of about 20 (some duplicates have been removed)